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Thursday, May 8, 2008
From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 11:00 pm ET
Peter Viles at LA Times brings us another gallery of foreclosed properties in LA. Peter features one on his blog L.A. Land: A foreclosure bargain: The tires are free!. Check it out.Here is another example ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 8:15 pm ET
Asha Bangalore at Northern Trust presented a great chart today on continuing unemployment claims. Click on graph for larger image.This morning I noted that continuing claims had reached the 3 million level for the first ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 6:30 pm ET
From CNN: House OKs controversial housing plan In a 266-154 vote ... lawmakers approved a proposal ... to let the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insure up to $300 billion in new loans over four years ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 4:36 pm ET
From AP: AIG loses $7.8 billion in 1Q on swap, investment charges More details soon. ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 1:21 pm ET
From The Chattanoogan.com: State Cutting Over 2,000 Jobs Due To Tax Shortfall (hat tip JKB) Gov. Phil Bredesen said Wednesday that state tax collections have been "deteriorating dramatically" in recent months...... he said April tax ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 10:53 am ET
Professor Tim Duy writes at Economist's View: Misunderstanding the CPI. This is an excellent discussion of CPI, and review of David Loenhardt's article yesterday in the NY Times: Seeing Inflation Only in the Prices That ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 9:47 am ET
Here is our monthly look at unemployment claims. Note that continuing claims has now reached a four-year high of 3 million.From the Department of Labor: In the week ending May 3, the advance figure ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 8, 2008 at 1:30 am ET
Martin Feldstein writes in the Financial Times: Misleading growth statistics give false comfort Prepositions matter. The recent government report that US gross domestic product increased 0.6 per cent in the first quarter was very misleading. ... (more)

Wednesday, May 7, 2008
From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 6:59 pm ET
The Fed's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey is qualitative, not quantitative, and there has been some discussion on the predictive ability of the survey.Luckily there was a paper written in 2000 that examined 'the value ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 6:27 pm ET
Last week I presented a chart of home improvement investment in real terms. I argued that home improvement spending could fall 15% to 20% in real terms based on previous home improvement slumps.Here is the ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 4:42 pm ET
Just yesterday Fannie Mae mentioned in its Q1 2008 Earnings Release that, as part of it's "Keys to Recovery" initiatives, it would offer "a new refinancing option for up-to-date but 'underwater' borrowers with loans owned ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 3:37 pm ET
From Bloomberg: U.S. Consumer Debt Rises More Than Forecast in March Consumer credit increased by $15.3 billion for the month to $2.56 trillion, the biggest monthly rise since November, the Federal Reserve said today in ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 12:09 pm ET
Brett Arends at the WSJ asks: Is Housing Slump at a Bottom? [The following chart] from Wellesley College Prof. Karl E. Case, one of the leading experts on the housing market in the country. And ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 10:31 am ET
From the NAR: Soft Existing-Home Sales Expected Near-Term But to Rise Midsummer The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in March, edged down 1.0 percent to 83.0 from a downwardly ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 9:34 am ET
From Bloomberg: Vallejo, California City Officials Vote to File for Bankruptcy Vallejo, California's city council voted to go into bankruptcy, saying the city doesn't have enough money to pay its bills ... because it ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 12:14 am ET
From Bloomberg: Fed's Hoenig Says `Serious' Inflation Risk May Prompt Rate Hike ``There is a significant risk that higher inflation will become embedded in the economy and require significant monetary policy tightening to reduce it,'' ... (more)

Tuesday, May 6, 2008
From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 6:45 pm ET
Here are a couple of interviews with analysts that were wrong about housing (emphasis added) ...From a Newsweek interview with ex-NAR economist David Lereah: It’s Going to Get Worse "[I] just didn't realize the scope, ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 3:44 pm ET
Inventory numbers from the Census Bureau do not include cancellations - and although cancellation rates are still above normal, the rate has declined from the record levels of last year. As examples, D.R. Horton reported ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 12:19 pm ET
From an opinion piece in the WSJ this morning, hedge fund manager Cyril Moulle-Berteaux argues: The Housing Crisis Is Over The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 9:25 am ET
From MarketWatch: D.R. Horton swings to $1.3 billion loss D.R. Horton's latest quarterly results included $834.1 million in pretax charges related to inventory impairments and land options it's walking away from. ...Reflecting ongoing weakness in ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 8:39 am ET
From the WSJ: Fannie Mae Swings to Loss, To Seek Fresh $6 Billion The latest results include $4.4 billion in losses on derivatives and trading securities, as well as $3.2 billion in credit-related expenses ...Fannie's ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 8:08 am ET
Wherein voluntary non-binding criteria are established in order to forestall actual regulation. No, really. Saith the WSJ:Officials have called a six-hour meeting Tuesday with banking officials to discuss adopting a uniform, but voluntary, set of ... (more)

Monday, May 5, 2008
From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 5, 2008 at 9:13 pm ET
From Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke: Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures [C]onditions in mortgage markets remain quite difficult, and mortgage delinquencies have climbed steeply. The sharpest increases have been among subprime mortgages, particularly those with adjustable interest ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 5, 2008 at 8:49 pm ET
This morning I posted a graph of three key components of non-residential structure investment - office buildings, multimerchandise shopping, and lodging - as a percent of GDP. Click on graph for larger image.This graph shows ... (more)

From Calculated Risk - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 5, 2008 at 4:31 pm ET
From the WSJ: Casino Operator Tropicana To File for Bankruptcy Protection Struggling casino operator Tropicana Entertainment LLC is expected to file for bankruptcy protection as soon as today ... It would be the largest corporate ... (more)

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