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From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 8:39 pm ET
I totally agree: "It's a sad testament to think the Fed has to cut interest rates eight days in front of a meeting to salvage the equity markets. The U.S. economy is in a rather ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 7:00 pm ET
A perfect example of why investors should not bottom guess! After the close, Apple gave weaker than expected guidance for the coming year, and the stock gets pummeled, down $15 to 140. That means off ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 4:00 pm ET
Things that make you go Hmmmmmmmmm: • Except for all the losses, U.S. Banks were wildly profitable last year (Bloomberg) • Who's to blame for the market rout? Da Bears! (Infectious Greed) • Today was ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 11:41 am ET
I have a new Apprenticed Investor column up at TheStreet.com, titled "Why Bottom Guess?" The premise is that most individuals are poorly served by trying to catch the falling knife. Instead of bottom guessing, waiting ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 10:01 am ET
The Fed slashes rates 75 bps – and another 75 bps are implied for next weeks meeting. There is a none-too-faint whiff of panic about today's actions. What does this mean for investors. Quite a ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 5:49 am ET
Good Tuesday morning. It looks to be quite the week, starting with a wee bit of a gap down this morning. I'll have a post up assessing the global Big Picture (pun intended) before 8 ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 4:30 am ET
The correct answer is, of course, never. Still, this cartoon amuses: via Ben Sargent ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 21, 2008 at 5:26 pm ET
Holy Snikes! Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract are off 520 points at 11,586; Nasdaq futures were at 1773.25, down 76.25. Standard & Poor's 500 futures recently were at 1265, down 60.3. Let me hasten ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 21, 2008 at 8:27 am ET
World markets are plunging in response to fears and expectations that the United States will be (or already is) in a recession that will be both long and deep. Headlines around the globe are rather ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 21, 2008 at 4:00 am ET
The S&P 500 is down 11% over the past three weeks. Investors are very concerned. For some perspective on the latest stock market action, today's chart presents the current trend of the S&P 500. As ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 20, 2008 at 6:30 pm ET
Another ugly week in the books. Given the carnage this past week, traders will need 3 full days to recover. The economic consensus has flipped from discussing IF there will be a recession, to how ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 20, 2008 at 11:21 am ET
Here are a dozen guidelines from Doug Kass. These were developed, according to Doug, regardless of market conditions, as sound investing practices: 1. Err on the side of conservatism. 2. Learn from the best, in ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 19, 2008 at 8:34 am ET
Is there any contrary indicator component to (bearish) blog traffic? I wonder . . . Note the trend over the past 30 days: > Sitemeter traffic to the Bigpicture as of 1/19/08 7:42am > I ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 19, 2008 at 4:30 am ET
On Monday, we referenced the bet between Jim Cramer and Eric Bolling. Today's NYPost runs with the story: " 'MAD' JIM CRAMER LOSES GOLDEN $50K BET" "Should stock jockey Jim Cramer be locked up for ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 6:50 pm ET
This was a rough week (even for the Bears). So for this evening's FNJ, I am going to focus on a specific album that you should pop into your musical device of choice and enjoy: ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 3:15 pm ET
Nice schadenfreude porn via the WSJ's Marketbeat: "The great 2007-2008 parade of writedowns, which was hovering around the $100 billion mark already, has pushed far past that thanks to Merrill Lynch’s $14.5 billion in assets ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 1:30 pm ET
Just a brief reminder: there have been numerous idiots insisting that the consumer was just fine, and this holiday season was free from problems. As it turns out, that view is, um, slightly off: "The ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 11:02 am ET
I almost fell off of my chair yesterday when I heard Art Laffer on Kudlow say those words: "The US is in a recession now." That's quite a reversal. As a trader, I am quick ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 7:30 am ET
Get used to hearing that phrase: Counter-Party Risk. You will be hearing a lot of it in the coming year. Its one of the reasons I disagree with my friend Doug Kass about any bottom ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 6:30 am ET
Last year, Dan Gross looked at what he called the rather inauspicious timing of the Fox Business Channel (FBC) launch. Since we here at the Big Picture love contrary indicators -- the weirder, the better ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 18, 2008 at 4:00 am ET
"Mad Money host Jim Cramer discusses doomed financials" (CNBC 's words, not mine) and Monoline Insurers. Give Cramer credit: This is a huge reversal from his prior (wildly incorrect) commentary on Housing, SubPrime and the ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 17, 2008 at 6:00 pm ET
Markets have been in what I call the "orderly whackage phase" over the past few weeks. Off of the top, the Dow is now down nearly 2,000 points, or about 13% from the October highs. ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 17, 2008 at 1:00 pm ET
Bloomberg: Builders in the U.S. broke ground in December on fewer houses than forecast, making last year's decline in homebuilding the worst in almost three decades. The 14 percent decrease to an annual rate of ... ( more)
From The Big Picture - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 17, 2008 at 11:00 am ET
NYSE % of stocks > than 200 Day Moving Average chart courtesy of Fusion IQ > As seen on the chart above the percentage of NYSE stocks > than their 200 day moving average has ... ( more)
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