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Monday, December 17, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 17, 2007 at 8:56 pm ET
This week the financial giants Goldman Sachs (GS), Bear Stearns (BSC) and Morgan Stanley (MS) will be releasing their quarterly earnings reports. I’ve been patient and hopeful with this sector since it has been showing the ... (more)

Sunday, December 16, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 16, 2007 at 2:36 pm ET
In case you’re looking for a broker or simply want to see how your current one stacks up against the competition: Web-Based Brokers - Click to See Table: Software-Based Brokers - Click to See Table: Specialty Brokers - ... (more)

Friday, December 14, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 14, 2007 at 8:52 pm ET
Here’s a quick recap of sentiment indicators for the past week as I saw them: AAII Sentiment Survey Retail investors are feeling rather cheeky with 48% bullish and only 36% bearish. Just a few weeks ago less ... (more)

Thursday, December 13, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 13, 2007 at 8:50 pm ET
So after the Fed cut rates as expected, and the market was miffed that it wouldn’t be enough to remedy the credit crisis wreaking havoc in the financial sector. And then a day later the Fed ... (more)

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December 13, 2007 at 7:56 pm ET
The Merril Lynch chief investment strategist, Richard Bernstein, seems to have finally gotten it right. As the saying goes, even a blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. Almost to the day this time last year, Richard ... (more)

Wednesday, December 12, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 12, 2007 at 5:14 pm ET
Just a few short years ago no one in Canada had any other platform to trade on other than that provided by the Toronto and Montreal Exchanges. If you want to get technical, there were ... (more)

Tuesday, December 11, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 11, 2007 at 3:22 pm ET
So the Fed came in with a 25 basis point cut, as expected by the markets, and everything went to hell in a hand basket. Hmm, I wonder if you can tell when, exactly, the ... (more)

Monday, December 10, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 10, 2007 at 8:25 pm ET
Here is the latest video commentary by Tony Oz: Apple is at a new 52 week high - is the Dow next? Take a look at his analysis. He covers Apple and the general market indices as ... (more)

Sunday, December 9, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 9, 2007 at 6:13 pm ET
With the impending FOMC decision, traders are going to be twitchy and nervous. Although a 25 basis point cut is baked in, until we get confirmation, the market will probably not trend. If you’ve been reading ... (more)

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December 9, 2007 at 3:47 pm ET
If you’ve surfed the web for any significant amount, you’ve encountered this image at least a dozen times already: Hint: it is a major website. background image, internet, mystery, website ... (more)

Thursday, December 6, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
December 6, 2007 at 10:26 pm ET
Last week something quite remarkable happened. We saw an almost back to back buying frenzy in the markets which pushed the internal breadth into the stratosphere. How explosive was it? On the NYSE, 90-95% of the ... (more)

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December 6, 2007 at 2:36 pm ET
As I mentioned a few days ago, my gut instinct tells me that the major central banks are about to turn and enter into an easing cycle. The Australian monetary authority and their European counterparts ... (more)

Wednesday, December 5, 2007
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December 5, 2007 at 8:59 pm ET
According to the Hulbert Financial Digest, stock timing newsletter editors en masse abandoned the market as the October highs melted into November losses. Back in October, as the market was making a swing high, newsletters recommended ... (more)

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December 5, 2007 at 12:48 am ET
According to sentiment, it is time to sell bonds (and buy stocks). Bond Market Sentiment A few days ago the Hulbert Bond Newsletter Sentiment Index reached 47.4% — that’s four times the average sentiment over the past ... (more)

Tuesday, December 4, 2007
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December 4, 2007 at 10:21 pm ET
The last time I visited the transport sector was in mid August when the whole market was making its intermediate low. Like many sectors, the transportation sector had an extremely low bullish percent index. It ... (more)

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December 4, 2007 at 10:08 pm ET
More or less, the world’s central banks operate in concert with one another, often even cooperating hand in hand to help each other (whether it is in setting interest rates or foreign currency interventions). Today the ... (more)

Monday, December 3, 2007
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December 3, 2007 at 7:24 pm ET
My previous position on gold has been wrong. At least so far. I didn’t think it would punch through the resistance at $725 but there it is, firmly established above that level now. So take ... (more)

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December 3, 2007 at 6:03 pm ET
Paul Krugman writes in today’s New York Times: How bad is it? Well, I’ve never seen financial insiders this spooked — not even during the Asian crisis of 1997-98, when economic dominoes seemed to be falling ... (more)

Friday, November 30, 2007
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November 30, 2007 at 6:34 pm ET
Here’s the sentiment recap for this past week: AAII Although the participants fill out this survey after the market closes on Wednesdays, the AAII this week actually showed an increase in bearish sentiment. Considering that we had ... (more)

Thursday, November 29, 2007
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November 29, 2007 at 7:47 pm ET
On average, most of the annual returns in the stock market come from the last few months plus January. This goes by the name of the January effect and other labels. But so far this year, ... (more)

From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
November 29, 2007 at 7:25 pm ET
Around the time that the internet bubble burst, small caps started to outperform large cap stocks. And they continued to do so through the bear market and the subsequent bull market. Now it seems that large ... (more)

Wednesday, November 28, 2007
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November 28, 2007 at 1:15 pm ET
At the end of July I mentioned that it was time to consider the battered financial sector. Back then, the bullish percent chart for the sector approached 25%, a level which usually means oversold. But ... (more)

Tuesday, November 27, 2007
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November 27, 2007 at 4:05 pm ET
According to the simple stock market timing method which relies on the 30 day rate of change of the 10 year treasury bonds, we are very oversold and should expect a rebound here. This system is ... (more)

From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
November 27, 2007 at 3:39 pm ET
The Federal Reserve continues to play catch up with the bond market. But with each successive rate cut, the fixed income market continues to stay one step ahead. We still have an almost 150 basis point ... (more)

Monday, November 26, 2007
From Trader's Narrative - view blog entries - visit this blog
November 26, 2007 at 4:09 pm ET
Today’s market really tests any bullish resolve that may have developed over the weekend. The financials were especially hit hard due to reported layoffs at Citigroup (C) - the shares hit a five year low. As ... (more)

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