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From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 18, 2008 at 6:50 pm ET
New readers please visit stop by my new comments section. Let’s build a forum that focuses on the various short-term overbought/oversold measures (as well as other topics) within the current market. As a community everyone ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 17, 2008 at 5:14 pm ET
As I write this all of the major benchmarks are down after hours. If this holds into the open tomorrow we should see the overbought levels in the major indexes move back to a neutral ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 16, 2008 at 4:25 pm ET
It was a great day for the bulls, but how long will it last? Are we witnessing the intermediate-term bounce or is this just another short-term bounce off of oversold levels. My gut tells me ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 15, 2008 at 6:26 pm ET
How many options strategies have blown up recently. You know the strategies that are exposed to the market on a daily basis and that incorporate absolutely zero capital preservation (money management) techniques. Most of us ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 14, 2008 at 5:39 pm ET
Not an awful lot to say today!
The week of options expiration began with more volatile trading. With the slew of upcoming economic and earnings reports coupled with fedspeak I do not expect the wild ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 11, 2008 at 4:34 pm ET
The decline today pushed the major benchmarks (DIA & SPY) back in a short-term oversold state. It also helped to push the consumer discretionary (XLY), financial (XLF), and retail (RTH) further in a short-term oversold ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 10, 2008 at 5:17 pm ET
The Materials sector (XLB) continued to lag today even with with an overall market advance. The “very oversold” status has me focused an a potential upcoming signal in the Sector ETF Extremes strategy. I would ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 9, 2008 at 4:57 pm ET
The headline says it all. I expected to see the short-term bounce, but did not want to step in due to the increased probability of a capitulation event. The gains would have certainly been nice for the two Extremes ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 9, 2008 at 9:50 am ET
My intention was to post before the opening bell today, but sometimes technology doesn’t cooperate. As a result, I will be posting (as always) after the closing bell today. Until then, happy trading.
Andy ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 8, 2008 at 9:36 pm ET
I am back in Vermont after an afternoon commute from NYC. It sure is nice to back in the Green Mountains. Anyway, I hate to be short, butI will not be posting tonight. I will ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 7, 2008 at 8:39 pm ET
Who said sitting on the sidelines was not a position. Why do traders/investment strategists feel as though they need to be in the market on a daily basis. I firmly believe “the less you trade ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 6, 2008 at 1:13 pm ET
The holiday shortened week was filled with more volatility. Ultimately, the market ended lower as record oil prices, continuing financial sector woes, auto-industry concerns and more evidence of a slowing economy were just too much ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 2, 2008 at 4:50 pm ET
Only four out of the fourteen ETFs that I follow for the strategies currently reside in a short-term neutral state. That leaves ten ETFs in a short-term oversold to very oversold state with several officially ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJuly 1, 2008 at 5:06 pm ET
I had my seventh trade in as many months in the QQQQ Gap Fade options strategy today. The significant gap lower at the open triggered a signal in the strategy (lower than Monday’s low). It ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 30, 2008 at 8:13 pm ET
The major indexes continue to lag in an oversold state although support levels in all four remain firm. Typically when we see this type of price action the aforementioned benchmarks will experience a short-term (1-3 ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 27, 2008 at 4:39 pm ET
June is shaping up to be the worst June since the Depression era. Whenever the market dips this sharply this fast we often see a reversal in the following month. I do think that before ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 26, 2008 at 9:34 pm ET
First, I would like to point out that one of the two gaps in the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) closed today. The gap from 4/18 closed and now the gap from 4/16 will most likely ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 26, 2008 at 1:09 pm ET
I will be away shortly after the bell today so expect a late post tonight. If market levels stay where they are I expect to see a signal tomorrow in the ETF Extremes strategy and ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 25, 2008 at 8:24 pm ET
Oversold levels dominated the market coming into “fed day”, but I am never a fan of taking a position ahead of an event that can move the market against you (and your position) in a ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 24, 2008 at 6:05 pm ET
The four major market benchmarks are officially in a short-term oversold state with the market stalwart, S&P 500 (SPY) in an extreme short-term oversold state. The RSI (2) for SPY is currently 3.6. The last ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 23, 2008 at 10:00 pm ET
The major benchmarks are still an oversold to near oversold state. Unfortunately, I need to see the underlying ETFs push lower into a short-term very oversold state before I will take a position.
There are also ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 20, 2008 at 4:44 pm ET
What a way to end the week. The two unclosed gaps (4/16 and 4/18) in the NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) that I have mentioned over the past several weeks are coming back in the picture. Amazingly, ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 19, 2008 at 6:40 pm ET
The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) and small-cap Russell 2000 led the led the oversold bounce today. It was the stereotypically volatile day that often occurs during the week of options expiration.
Today, along with many others, ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 18, 2008 at 6:48 pm ET
The NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) opened lower today for a gap lower. However, the gap was only $.221, which in most cases is a borderline signal. Had QQQQ been in a short-term oversold state a signal ... ( more)
From Crowder Investments - view blog entries - visit this blogJune 17, 2008 at 5:28 pm ET
The NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) Gap Fade options strategy was extremely close to a signal at the open this morning, but unfortunately, QQQQ opened slightly below yesterday’s high. The last few trading days have been close ... ( more)
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