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Saturday, May 10, 2008
Calm (11 clicks)
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 10, 2008 at 11:13 am ET
After climbing for 6 of the past 7 weeks, the NASDAQ took a breather this week, printing an inside candle on flat trade. Given record oil prices and broad economic weakness, this is surprisingly sanguine behavior. On a day investors were forced to wash down detritus from AIG and C with $126 crude, the market logged its 4th lowest trading volume in 2008. Institutional investors continue to be reluctant to unwind their positions, even in the face of withering economic circumstances.Friday's quiet action was even more remarkable when you consider that earlier in the week, a big ... (more)

Wednesday, May 7, 2008
Oops (14 clicks)
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 7, 2008 at 7:46 pm ET
After a steady string of gains, stocks took a plop on Wednesday.In mid-January, 5-year trend lines were broken, signaling the start of a new bear market. Until this long-term damage is repaired, rallies such as the current one are countertrend. This makes them subject to harsh interruptions -- and even quick endings.---------The 13/34 EMA chart below is one of the classic Bull Market/Bear Market indicators. Until the blue line is back above the red, the market can be a fair-weather friend.Big volume selloffs like Wednesday's happen in all market climates. Whether the rally is over ... (more)

Tuesday, May 6, 2008
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 6, 2008 at 11:14 am ET
Perhaps it was the tequila, but on Monday, May 5 -- Cinco de Mayo -- there was an interesting series of three posts on the use of SPX High-Low Index to help time the market. I use this indicator as well, and three posts in one day caught my eye. What struck me is that I apply the SPX High-Low across a slightly different timeframe, and so am adding a fourth post to the discussion.-- Bill Luby at VIX and More smoothes the High-Low Index with a 20-day EMA to identify intermediate oversold levels and changes in trend. ... (more)

Monday, May 5, 2008
Yin and Yang (12 clicks)
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 5, 2008 at 7:09 pm ET
On a day that Yang and Ballmer (not pictured) won't soon forget, stocks pulled back on quiet trade yet again. Except for YHOO, institutional investors showed little interest in unravelling positions built up over the past seven weeks. Monday's action was another example of the stock market's improving behavior, and careful observers of market internals know these improvements began weeks ago.The chart below shows that important positive divergences began developing during the series of lower lows between Jan-Mar. As the NASDAQ continued falling, the number of stocks actually hitting New Lows decreased. At the same ... (more)

Saturday, May 3, 2008
Rotation Ahead (4 clicks)
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 3, 2008 at 7:16 pm ET
On the heels of a strong up week for stocks, the market cooled its jets on lower trade Friday. This is ideal market action after a surge, and suggests that soon enough, more gains lay ahead. Adding to the bullish vibe is the fact that for the first time in six months, all of the indexes except for the RUT are now confirmed above their 200-day. This is an important development, and is the product of institutional buying, Many mistakes are made on Wall Street, but there are few accidents. So, after such a run-up, ... (more)

Friday, May 2, 2008
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 2, 2008 at 11:09 am ET
Over the past eight months, I received a lot of comments, messages and e-mails about taking a break from blogging The dk Report. Most were kind and thoughtful, and thanks to each of you for taking the time to write. But several were pretty weird. The most unusual of these involved bizarre rumors hatched from the fertile womb of the internet. Below are ten of the best myths I heard about The dk Report hiatus, and all came from actual communiqués sent or forwarded to me.1. I was not immobilized by clinical depression over the ... (more)

Resistance (12 clicks)
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
May 2, 2008 at 2:39 am ET
The market made it back to critical resistance on Thursday. Both the Dow and NASDAQ have punched through their downtrend lines, but the SPX is parked right on the line. Friday's jobs number is the likely catalyst for short-term action -- up or down. The market looks prepped to handle a shaky number, but we'll see.The dk Report charts have been updated, and will continue to stay current.Good luck trading.bestdk ... (more)

Wednesday, April 30, 2008
From The dk Report - view blog entries - visit this blog
April 30, 2008 at 12:38 am ET
It's been over 8 months since I've written a financial post, and I've missed it more than you can imagine. Rest assured, I've stayed fully involved in the market during the entire period, but an epic work schedule has simply prevented me from writing about it. It's one of the only regrets I have about how time-consuming my day job is.A special thanks for the many colorful comments and e-mails. Unfortunately, many of the weirdest best comments aren't printable. Judging from your remarks, it appears that the biggest accomplishment of my hiatus was to single-handedly disgrace ... (more)

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