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From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMay 14, 2008 at 1:29 pm ET
Here's some bad news to ignore:Food prices jump - APHome Foreclosures: Crisis only getting deeper - CNBCFed won't solve housing crisis - ReutersGas above $3.75 a gallon - APWhole Food shares battered after weak earnings ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMay 7, 2008 at 5:57 pm ET
Watching this video reminds me of the last time such gurus were calling for $100 crude oil. This was last year when crude was going over $60. Indeed, we have clearly passed $100, but we ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogApril 30, 2008 at 2:46 pm ET
can we please get some action? Volatility indexes are suggesting a drop, ditto put/call ratios. Price has been unable to make much progress lately, so when are these indicators going to be obliged?Live trades and ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogApril 23, 2008 at 3:07 pm ET
I would agree with Gary here- we are close to, or at the top. Time for a drop. Gary has mentioned the WSJ data showing selling into SPY strength plus high RSI levels. I would ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogApril 16, 2008 at 1:39 pm ET
I thought Anonymous was gone, he/she promised "this will be my last post here...". Alas, Anonymous cannot resist visiting this blog even when there are no updates! Anyway, markets are on a rally today, since ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogApril 7, 2008 at 4:01 pm ET
Is: "It's gonna be one hell of a week!". Earnings season is here- Alcoa kicks off today and GE will cap off the week on Friday. In between will be a slew of companies reporting, ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 27, 2008 at 5:36 pm ET
OK Anonymous, for crying out loud, here's a post to keep you happy for a few days: is crude oil forming a double top? Just check out charts e.g. USO. If so this could be ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 24, 2008 at 3:35 pm ET
Not the usual bear squeeze. This time it is Bear Stearns that comes along to rescue the markets: "JPMorgan Raises Bear Stearns Bid to Woo Shareholders" - Bloomberg.com. Not sure if this changes much as ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 18, 2008 at 3:46 pm ET
The Fed throws the bulls more cheese in the form of 0.75% rate cut. Nice one - but does this bring us back to 2003-2007 style rallies (persistent), or is it time to wait for ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 14, 2008 at 4:28 pm ET
Knowing the trend in the market is key to making successful trades. During the bull years of 2003 - 2007, long trades succeeded a lot more times than the few bear drops. This time around ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 13, 2008 at 3:38 pm ET
S&P sees the end in sight, while Carlyle Capital sees assets being seized. Also there is a rumor going round questioning the solvency of Bear Stearns!! One more huge drop and a good buying point ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 11, 2008 at 3:28 pm ET
Rally is here, it's been a "long" wait since last week. As mentioned before, we are in a bear market, so SAR reigns. Better to exit those longs and start looking for shorting opportunities in ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogMarch 3, 2008 at 4:10 pm ET
Looks like a good place today to exit shorts, and for the more daring to enter long positions for the short-term. Since we are in a downtrend or bear market, shorts will work better than ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 27, 2008 at 5:52 pm ET
There is a Spanish proverb that goes: "I don't want the cheese, I just want to get out of the trap". It feels like Bernanke may be singing that song somewhere down the line. In ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 25, 2008 at 4:01 pm ET
I cannot see anything to get excited about on the long or short side. Nothing special on volatility indexes or PCR that I can see, and stock charts also not that appealing. It's going to ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 19, 2008 at 2:22 pm ET
Gap up this morning has been faded away - I cannot make any sense of any of the usual indicators expect PCR is dropping fast which would imply a sell-off could just around the corner. ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 14, 2008 at 2:50 pm ET
I still maintain short-term bearish bias. Tomorrow is Options Expiration day, so could be dull. I would be looking at March options anyway if one prefers options to stocks. Techs are giving up almost 2%, ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 12, 2008 at 2:38 pm ET
Techs are sluggish today, with AAPL down almost 3%. Looks like going into options expiration the Qs will swing down one more time. Energy stocks are also losing "steam". I'd rather be short than long ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 6, 2008 at 3:51 pm ET
The markets didn't have a chance today. Looking at most website (Yahoo! Finance, Bloomberg etc.) all I see is bad news like Macy's cutting 2,300 jobs, the Fed worried about inflation and may not cut ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogFebruary 4, 2008 at 3:31 pm ET
We'll probably be range bound for a little while, but does anyone seriously think we could rally soon? Any catalysts? I cannot think of anything in February that could rally this market (without a drop ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 31, 2008 at 2:33 pm ET
Elevated volatility indexes on average favor the bulls, so putting on shorts at such levels is a low probability trade. If you are a bear, better to wait for VIX etc. to drop below the ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 30, 2008 at 2:23 pm ET
With volatility levels so high, this SAR opportunity does not make much sense, I'll wait for this upthrust to end before taking any action. But for the moment the markets like the cut, and since ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 28, 2008 at 2:44 pm ET
There is some hope of more rate cuts on Wednesday (see Bloomberg story), but since we are in confirmed downtrend, how far will this latest rally go? Energy and financials are doing quite well today. ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 24, 2008 at 2:44 pm ET
While waiting for the next SAR opportunity (as this bounce looks weak), here's some good reading about the rogue trader at Société Générale that accumulated losses of more than $7.2bn:Bloomberg: "a computer genius"FT.com: ShockGenBank Systems ... ( more)
From The Lauriston Letter - view blog entries - visit this blogJanuary 22, 2008 at 2:29 pm ET
What a humongous gap down on the open! And those who faded it, whether going long or covering shorts must be quite happy bunnies right now. In case you have been hiding under a rock, ... ( more)
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